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Category - Weather

Weather

It’s a bird… It’s a plane… It’s a Coyote!

Hurricane season is here, and hurricane forecasters and scientists are busy watching thunderstorms roll across the oceans to see which ones might develop into hurricanes. A hurricane is a storm that forms in the tropics of the southern Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico, and in the eastern Pacific Ocean. Hurricane scientists have many tools to help them study these storms, and one of the very best ways is to fly right into the center using hurricane hunter airplanes. Hurricane hunter airplanes are flying laboratories designed to withstand the strong winds and rough environment within the hurricane. They fly directly into and around the edge of storms to collect data. Scientists and forecasters use this data to determine how strong a storm is. They also feed the data into models to forecast or predict where the hurricane will go and how strong it will become. However, the hurricane hunter aircraft typically don’t fly below 5,000 feet, as this part of the storm is extremely turbulent and can be too dangerous for an aircraft carrying people. Scientists now have a new tool to collect data in the lowest part of the hurricane: the Coyote unmanned aircraft system, or UAS. UAS are aircraft that are flown with remote controls — just more sophisticated versions of the radio-controlled model airplanes you may fly at home! Flying the Coyote UAS in the lower part of a hurricane is a safe way to get very important data to improve hurricane forecasts. Scientists with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) released the Coyote into a hurricane for the first time in 2014, into the eye of Hurricane Edouard. The small, seven-pound aircraft deployed from a chute in the belly of the hurricane hunter, floated on its parachute until it opened its six-foot wingspan, and flew through the storm about 1,000 feet above the churning ocean. The Coyote can be controlled or piloted from miles away but is typically piloted by scientists onboard the hurricane hunter aircraft. Its lightweight design requires the Coyote to fly with the wind currents, but it can be directed up, down and sideways to navigate specific flight patterns during its typical one-to two-hour flight. The Coyote’s primary mission is to measure air pressure, temperature, moisture and wind speed inside the storm. It also has a sensor to measure sea surface temperatures in and around a storm. These observations could help scientists better understand how a hurricane pulls energy from the ocean — and how strong it could become. Scientists search for better ways to study and observe hurricanes with one goal in mind: improve hurricane forecasts and save lives. Communities and families like yours rely on NOAA to provide an accurate forecast of when and where a hurricane may impact their community. Using new technologies such as the Coyote UAS also allow NOAA to make better forecasts of how strong a storm will be, so that your family can be prepared and stay safe.

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Weather

Fighting Wildfires with Weather

A wildfire is a dangerous, out of control fire that most often burns through forests and rural areas. However, wildfires sometimes spread into areas where people live, destroying homes, schools and other buildings. In addition, smoke from wildfires is bad for your health. Breathing in smoke produced by a wildfire can be extremely harmful, particularly for children and older adults. Nine out of ten fires are caused by people – which is why Smokey Bear says, “Only you can prevent wildfires.” These fires may be a result of people not properly putting out campfires, throwing burning cigarettes out of windows, or shooting off fireworks when the grass is dry. For a wildfire to form, you need heat, fuel and oxygen. Heat means high temperatures. Fuel is material that will burn, such as dry trees or grass. Oxygen is contained in the air we breathe. Wildfires that endanger homes and property need to be contained. To do so, you need wildland firefighters. These are highly-trained men and women that endure exhausting work, harsh living conditions and long separations from friends and family to protect our nation’s natural resources from the ravages of unwanted wildfire. But for the firefighters to safely and efficiently fight the fire, they need to understand the weather. Weather conditions (such as wind and rain) influence how easily a fire may start, how quickly it spreads and where the fire and smoke will move. Incident Meteorologists (IMETs) are National Weather Service forecasters who have been specially trained and certified to provide local weather forecasts at a fire location. They’re like the meteorologists you see on TV but they predict what a wildfire will do based upon their knowledge of weather conditions. They use computers, satellite information and portable weather stations to track dangerous wildfires and help keep firefighters safe. One hazard that IMETs look out for is lightning. When lightning is in the area IMETs issue warnings to firefighters so that they can find safe shelter. Wind is another dangerous element when it comes to fighting wildfires. Strong gusts can cause the fire to suddenly shift, which can injure the firefighters or cut off their escape routes. The weather changes by the minute so IMETs are needed to provide timely information around the clock. Computers are an essential tool for weather forecasters. IMETs help keep fire crews safe by tracking one of the most variable aspects of a wildfire – the weather. All those who fight wildfires put themselves in danger to keep the rest of us safe. Do your part to prevent wildfires from starting. Never leave a fire unattended. Be careful during periods of dry or hot weather. And speak up if you see someone in danger of starting a wildfire. Remember, as Smokey Bear says, “Only you can prevent wildfires.”

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Weather

What is a drought?

Conserving water is always a good idea — but in California it’s mandatory. Cities and towns have been ordered to stop using too much water. They have to do this because California and much of the western United States is in a drought. Drought is caused by a lack of rain or snow over an extended period. It happens nearly everywhere and is a normal feature of our climate. A drought can develop quickly and end quickly. But there are cases where droughts last a very long time, such as years or even decades. In the last 100 years there have been four major drought events. Two of these, the 1930s Dust Bowl drought and the 1950s drought, each lasted five to seven years and covered large areas of the continental United States. Droughts are very hard on society. They can drive farmers out of business, making the fruits and vegetables you eat more expensive. Without adequate water, lakes and rivers can dry up — hurting places that depend on tourism and taking away your summer vacation spot. Even the electricity you use for your computer or TV can be more expensive — hydroelectric dams, like the Hoover Dam in Nevada, need water to operate. Our environment can be impacted negatively by drought. It can destroy wetlands, which are home to many important plants and animals. Drought can also cause increased stress on animals, forcing them to migrate in search of a new water source. Drought can be bad for your health, too. Without adequate rain, wildfires can develop in grasslands and forests. Wildfires are fires that burn out of control through woods and brush. Wildfires can destroy homes and produce smoke that can make it difficult to breathe, particularly for the very young and very old, like your younger brother or sister or your grandparents. Wind is more likely to pick up dirt and dust when the land is exceptionally dry. Breathing in certain types of airborne dust can aggravate respiratory illnesses like asthma. Too little water can even lead to arguments between farmers, who need water for their crops, and people who live in cities and suburbs. What can you do about drought? During a drought, it’s important to use less water. You can help by taking a five-minute shower instead of filling the tub for a bath. Turn off the water when brushing your teeth and you can save up to four gallons a minute. Use a broom instead of a hose to help your parents clean sidewalks and driveways. Check around the house to make sure that faucets don’t drip. Simple steps like these will help conserve water. Droughts are natural but can have negative consequences for both the land and for the people living and working in the affected area.

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Weather

Stay Safe at the Beach

At the beach, you can have a ton of fun. Swim in the water, throw a Frisbee along the surf or just put your toes in the wet sand. Everyone loves a trip to the beach. The beach is so much fun that sometimes people forget about the possible dangers, like bad weather, rip currents and other hazards. Don’t let these threats ruin your day at the beach. Stay safe with these beach safety tips: Check the Weather Forecast Rain, thunderstorms, lightning and other kinds of bad weather can occur at the beach. Know before you go; check the weather forecast at weather.gov to find out how hot it will be and if thunderstorms are expected. Check the Surf Zone Forecast Great weather for the beach does not always mean it is safe to swim. Make sure you check the surf zone forecast at www.ripcurrents.noaa.gov/forecasts.shtml. Forecasts are available for many popular beaches. The surf zone is the area of water between the first breaking waves and shore line. This is where most people swim or play in the water when at the beach. Always Swim at a Beach with Lifeguards The chances of drowning at a beach with lifeguards are 1 in 18 million. Always swim at a beach with lifeguards. Always follow a lifeguard’s instructions. When swimming at a beach without a lifeguard, a person is five times more likely to drown than when swimming at a beach with a lifeguard. Break the Grip of the Rip® Rip currents are powerful, channeled currents of water flowing away from shore that quickly pull swimmers out to sea. If caught in a rip current, don’t fight the current. Stay calm and try to float. If you can’t return to the shore, call or wave for help. Situations like rip currents are why it’s so important to only swim at a beach with lifeguards. Know What the Warning Flags Mean Beach warning flags can be found at a lifeguard’s stand. It is important to know what these flags mean. A green flag means to use caution. A red flag means there is a high surf or strong currents. Stay out of the water if a red flag is flying. Talk to the lifeguard if you have questions about beach conditions; they are there to help. Bring a Friend Never swim alone! Make sure that you’re with a parent or an adult at all times. If you go swimming with a group, make sure to leave someone on the beach as a spotter and another who can go for help. Have a cell phone, and know the location/address of the beach you are on. Safety First, Fun Second When you go to the beach, put safety first and fun second. Following these simple steps will help you and your family stay safe at the beach.

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Kids

Severe Weather Warnings

A storm is approaching, and the sky is turning dark. Could a tornado be headed your way? Or maybe the storm will produce strong winds, large hail or a flash flood? Fortunately, meteorologists at the National Weather Service are watching the storm on radar and are ready to warn you if the storm becomes dangerous. If those forecasters think the storm will produce dangerous winds, large hail or a tornado, they’ll issue a warning to advise everyone in the storm’s path to seek a safe shelter. But how will you hear the warning? While it’s very important for forecasters to issue warnings of severe weather, it’s equally important that people hear those warnings. Over the past 20 years, the National Weather Service has worked with the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), radio and television stations, cable companies and telephone companies to help ensure that you hear the warnings. Another way to receive severe storm warnings is with a NOAA Weather Radio. NOAA Weather Radios are designed to automatically turn on, sound an alarm and broadcast the warning immediately after it is issued. Whether you’re at home or at school, and whether you’re awake or asleep, a NOAA Weather Radio can potentially save your life! In fact, NOAA Weather Radios have been provided to every school system in the country to help keep students, teachers and staff safe. Currently there are more than 1000 NOAA Weather Radio stations across the United States. An example of the life-saving benefits of NOAA Weather Radio happened in 2005. A severe thunderstorm was headed toward Charles F. Johnson Elementary School in Endicott, N.Y. Forecasters issued a warning for the storm, and that warning activated the alarm on the school’s Weather Radio receiver. School officials evacuated 340 students, teachers and staff to designated “storm-safe” areas. Twenty-two minutes later, the storm struck the school, and 70 mile-per-hour winds tore the roof off of the kindergarten wing and devastated the building. According to the principle of the school, those 22 minutes of advance warning saved lives and prevented injuries. Another example occurred that same year in Smith County, Mississippi. Once a tornado warning was issued, the Mize Attendance Center (a kindergarten through 12th-grade complex), activated its emergency plan. Students on the upper level of the school went to the lower level interior hallways. While the tornado tore off the roof of the building and damaged the upper floor and windows, there were no injuries among the 650 students. A Weather Radio is just one way to receive a severe storm warning. Radio and television stations have equipment that listens for severe weather warnings and then re-broadcasts the warnings to the station’s listeners or viewers. In addition, the warnings are available on the Internet and are sent out by many phone companies as text messages to cell phone users.

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Weather

Snow and Ice

You know that heavy rain can cause flooding, but did you know that snow and ice can also cause flooding? When temperatures start to warm each spring, the threat of flooding grows across the part of the country that spent the winter in a deep freeze. In northern U.S. states like Alaska, North Dakota and Wisconsin, and also in the mountains of the Western U.S., temperatures during the winter mostly stay below freezing. This means all the snow that falls in this area hangs around until it is warm enough to melt. Once it does start to melt, the run-off from the snowmelt will head for nearby creeks, rivers, lakes and reservoirs, and may cause these bodies of water to overflow their banks. It is possible for that same flood to affect areas well downstream of where the flooding originated. For example, almost every spring flooding on the Mississippi River starts in the Upper Midwest as the temperatures warm and the snow and ice start to melt. All that additional water causes the Mississippi River to spill over its banks in the north. As this excess of water travels down the river towards the Gulf of Mexico, many areas that didn’t receive much snowfall over the winter still experience the flooding that is happening due to the snowfall in the north. Thick ice also forms on some rivers and creeks during the winter. When the temperatures start to warm, the ice starts to melt and it weakens enough to crack and break apart into chunks. As ice is carried downstream, it may get caught on any sort of obstruction to the water flow, such as a downed tree, further blocking the water’s ability to flow. When this occurs, water can be held back, causing upstream flooding. When the jam finally breaks, typically because of further ice melting, flooding can occur downstream. Ice only six inches thick can destroy large trees and knock houses off their foundations. Once an ice jam gives way, a location may experience a flash flood as all the water and debris that were trapped rush downstream. This is why it is important to know when a nearby river is impacted by an ice jam and to avoid the area until the ice jam has been resolved. The National Weather Service provides river forecasts so that you will know when a river might flood and can stay safe by avoiding that area. Visit www.water.weather.gov for the latest river forecast information. This flooding in downtown Davenport, Iowa, from the Mississippi River was caused by snowmelt.

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Weather

Tsunamis

Have you ever heard the word tsunami? A tsunami is an ocean wave that can be a very large and dangerous and can flood coastal areas, causing incredible devastation. Most tsunamis are caused by the movement of the ocean floor during a large earthquake. Recent tsunamis in Indonesia, Samoa, Chile and Japan have shown the incredible power of these waves and the tragic effects they inflict on people and property. Those four tsunamis wiped out entire villages and resulted in the drowning deaths of thousands of people. As devastating as these waves are, you can protect yourself and others by knowing what to do if a tsunami occurs. What can you do to protect yourself? First, if you are near the ocean and feel an earthquake that lasts for 20 seconds or longer, move away from the water to higher ground. Second, if you are at the beach and see the water draw out, exposing the sea floor, get away from the beach and go quickly to higher ground. If a tsunami warning is issued, follow the instructions from police or fire fighters. As a general rule though, you need to move inland to higher ground or to the fourth floor (or higher) of a strong building. Because tsunamis can last for up to two days, always make sure it is safe before returning to the shore. What makes these waves so dangerous? It has to do with the distance between crests or peaks of the wave. Picture yourself on a beach. As you sit there, you will see a new wave come in about every three to ten seconds. If you sit there long enough, you will see the tide go in and out about every 12 hours. If you’re sitting there when a tsunami comes in (and hopefully you won’t be), the wave will come in and go out about every fifteen minutes. Because of the time between waves, tsunamis do not break and lose their energy at the shore, but rather, the water rushes over the land, creating strong currents that produce great damage. How do we know when a tsunami is coming? Thankfully, giant tsunamis are rare. When they do occur, they normally follow large earthquakes. Scientists at the National Weather Service’s Tsunami Warning Centers work around the clock to monitor the earth so that tsunami warnings can be issued. These scientists use special ocean sensors to help detect tsunamis. These sensors, along with seismometers (which measure earthquakes), provide tsunami forecasters with the information they need. Even though forecasters can issue tsunami warnings within five minutes after an earthquake, sometimes the warning is too late for those near the coast. That’s why it’s important to know what to do. While most tsunamis are caused by earthquakes, tsunamis can also be caused by land sliding into the ocean, underwater volcanic eruptions and even meteorites hitting the ocean. Scientists are still exploring new ways to help predict and warn people of tsunamis. But even with future improvements, you need to remember to move away from the water to higher ground if you see any signs of a tsunami. Paul Whitmore is the Director of the National Tsunami Warning Center in Palmer, Alaska.

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Weather

It’s A Snow Day

Did you ever wonder how much snow it takes to close your school for the day? Many people hope schools close for a “snow day” so that they can stay home and play with friends! In the winter months, the most common reason schools close is because of snow or ice storms. There is no set amount of snow that will definitely close schools. The reason schools close is to ensure the safety of the students, teachers and people that work at the school. A major concern is that the roads and sidewalks are safe to travel for school buses, cars and walkers. Some parts of the United State are more equipped to handle snow or ice than others. In some areas, as little as an inch of snow could close a school, while in other areas it could take a foot or more to cancel school. Another important factor is the time when the snow occurs. If it snows overnight but ends before the morning (when everyone is travelling to work or school), then it’s possible that the roads can be cleared and safe for travel before school opens. Other times of the year, schools may close due to the threat of tornadoes or flooding. Who decides to close a school? The superintendent of your school district or county is the person that manages your school and decides whether school will be open or closed. In many cases, the superintendent talks with other public officials in the community to decide if it is safe to have school. In particular, the superintendent may talk with public works officials or road supervisors who may be out driving the local roads very early in the morning to see if they are safe. In most instances, the decision on whether school will be open is normally made during the evening hours of the night before or during the early morning hours of the day. If the decision is made to close a school, then everyone needs to be notified. The school district uses many different ways to notify families and staff of a school closure. Information on the school closing is usually posted on the school’s website. Local radio and television stations are informed so they can get the information out to the public. In some cases, the school may use a “robocall” system to notify the local television stations and the families of students. The robocall system is a computerized auto dialer, text and email system that delivers a pre-recorded message as if it were from a robot. Just remember, snow days typically need to be made up later on in the school year. What do you plan to do on your next snow day: Sled, build a snowman, play games or watch shows? Enjoy the snow days when they happen! Nikki Becker is the Observation Program Leader at the National Weather Service in Gray, Maine.

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Weather

Forecasting the weather

Do you check the weather each day to help you make decisions? For instance, do you listen to the forecast so you’ll know what to wear or whether to carry an umbrella? Since the weather is always changing, we rely on meteorologists to predict the weather. Some people think meteorologists just guess, but there is a lot of science that goes into forecasting the weather. For a meteorologist, the atmosphere is a large puzzle. If you’re good at solving puzzles, you might be a good weather forecaster. Every day, meteorologists try to solve the “weather puzzle” by putting many pieces of atmospheric information together. The difficulty is that the atmosphere has so many pieces of information that you can’t account for all of them. Some pieces of the atmospheric puzzle are always missing, so forecasting the weather can be a challenge. That is why weather predictions are never 100 percent accurate. One of the first things that a meteorologist does before making a forecast is to investigate the current state of the atmosphere. Weather observations taken by equipment on the ground and by weather balloons higher in the atmosphere are mapped and analyzed to understand the current conditions. These maps help meteorologists locate areas of high and low pressure, cold and warm fronts and storms. High- and low-pressure centers are important because pressure differences cause air to move. We feel moving air as wind. Also, high-pressure systems generally bring good weather while low-pressure systems often bring stormy weather. Cold and warm fronts separate areas of warm and cold air and are often where storms develop and intensify. Meteorologists also use satellite and radar images to find developing storms and precipitation. After the ground level and upper atmospheric observations are made, reports from all over the world are collected and used in “computer models” to predict how storm systems will develop and move. The computer models are computer programs designed to simulate the real atmosphere. In making their predictions, computer models solve millions of mathematical equations, which are based on the scienceof the real atmosphere. The computer models are not perfect, and it is the meteorologist’s job to evaluate the computer models’ predictions when making his or her weather forecast. Meteorologists often rely on predictions from several different computer models to make their forecast. Experienced meteorologists learn situations when the computer models are more (or less) accurate and account for these strengths or weaknesses when making a forecast. Meteorologists also account for local weather effects caused by mountains and large bodies of water. Finally, when a meteorologist has looked at all of the available information, he or she attempts to solve the “weather puzzle” and makes a forecast. So the next time you hear a weather forecast, you’ll know that it’s the meteorologist’s attempt to solve a complicated atmospheric puzzle.

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Kids

Observing the Weather

by Stacie Hanes How hot was it today? How cold was it last night? How much rain or snow fell yesterday? Was it cloudy, windy or foggy? To know the answers to these questions, someone had to observe the weather. Some weather observations (like how cloudy it is) can be made with your eyes and some observations can be based on how it feels (like temperature or wind), but the best way to observe the weather is to take measurements. Several types of instruments can help. A thermometer tells us how warm or cold it is, a rain gauge tells us how much rain fell and a ruler can be used to measure snow. Anyone can make observations of the weather. In fact, you might want to keep a daily log of the temperature, what the sky looked like and whether there was any precipitation. Although the National Weather Service uses a variety of instruments to observe the weather, we also rely on observations taken by volunteers across the country. Your family or school can contribute to the weather information collected around the country by joining a volunteer network of weather observers. One such program is the Community Collaborative Rain, Hail and Snow Network, or CoCoRaHS for short. CoCoRAHS weather observers work together to measure and map precipitation in their local communities and across the country. So how does it work? Every time it rains, snows or hails, volunteers make precipitation measurements and enter them onto a website. Once the information is entered, it can be displayed on a map. The observations can then be used for many situations, like helping the National Weather Service decide whether to issue flood warnings. Measuring rain and snow is easy. To measure rainfall, you will need a rain gauge. Be sure to place it outside on level ground, and away from trees and buildings. After it rains, simply read how much rain fell into the rain gauge and record your observation. Snow can be measured with a ruler or, for the real big storms, with a yardstick. Your snowfall measurement will be better if you use a “snowboard.” A snowboard is simply a board that is painted white. Before a storm, place your snowboard well away from trees and roofs, and make sure to mark where you put it so you can find it when it is covered in snow. You should try to measure the snow as soon as the storm ends to get an accurate measurement. If you wait too long, the snow may melt, settle, blow away, drift or evaporate. If it’s been windy, you may need to take several measurements in the area and average them in order to get an accurate measurement. If you are interested, the CoCoRaHS network is always looking for more volunteer observers. If your family or school would like to become a volunteer weather observer, simply visit the CoCoRaHS website (www.cocorahs.org) and click “Join CoCoRaHs.” Additional details on how to observe and report rain and snow are available on the website. Stacie Hanes is a meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Gray, Maine.

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